Perry Drake, aka "The Drive-By Pundit," has written a great article at the American Thinker. He believes that Obama will lose big in November simply because two million blacks, who voted for Obama in 2008, won't go to the polls this time. Blacks have lost their enthusiasm for Obama. Perry writes:
Book it: Romney's going to win this election in a romp come November. I'm certain of this because there is a key factor that's being overlooked this time around -- blacks have lost their passion for Obama.
And this:
But most of all, I see blacks' loss of passion for Obama in their eyes. Before, when blacks spoke of Obama, they looked you square in the eye with confident, euphoric gazes, much like a cat eying a cornered mouse. But the reality of double-digit unemployment, diminishing household incomes, and soaring gas and grocery bills sank in long ago in the black community. Now when blacks talk about Obama, their eyes are listless and dull, almost despondent.
And the polls? Forget them. Perry says:
Which brings me back to polls, and why Romney will be our next president. Polls are largely not picking up on blacks' massive loss of passion for Obama. All of their turnout models assume that in November, blacks will vote for Obama in the same numbers as they did in 2008 -- 13 percent of the national vote versus 11 percent in 2004, which is more traditional. No longer motivated by passion, you can expect 2 million fewer blacks to pull the lever for Obama this time around, spelling doom for his re-election prospects.
I like this guy. Read his
article in its entirety here.
3 comments:
Linked: http://americanpowerblog.blogspot.com/2012/09/obama-leads-romney-by-50-43-in-national.html
Thanks, Donald.
Let us recall that the polls in 1980 had Reagan slated to lose the election. He didn't.
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