Saturday, September 08, 2012

Obama Edges Ahead in the Polls...Or Does He?

Perhaps Obama did get some bounce from the Democratic National Convention.  In spite of the discouraging jobs report yesterday, Obama has edged ahead in the polls, including the only one I trust, the Rasmussen Poll.  Real Clear Politics polls (RCP) show Obama with 332 electoral votes to Romney's 206.  If those figures reflect reality, Obama will win in a landslide.  Who would've guessed that the American people would embrace poverty, socialism and presidential ineptitude with such wild abandon?

My intuitive mind has not given up, nor is it convinced that these numbers are real.  The Rasmussen Poll is a rolling average of several days and today's slight edge to Obama could be statistical noise.  The RCP polls are all over the map, and are an average of polls going back to August 24.  They do not reflect the actual electorate at this day and time, and can be misleading.

Romney and Ryan can still win this and are very much in the fight.  From here on to the finish, the race will be decided by debates, television ads and stump speeches.  Advantage Romney-Ryan.

1 comment:

LD Jackson said...

I agree. In spite of what the pundits would have us believe the polls are saying, I think Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan have a better than average chance of pulling off a victory. In spite of the DNC and rest of the rhetoric coming from the Democrats, we do have a lot of positives on our side.