Friday, November 02, 2012

Las Vegas Oddsmaker Predicts Landslide Victory For Romney Over Obama

Wayn Allyn Root is a Las Vegas odds-maker with a reputation for accuracy in predicting political outcomes. That doesn't mean he is infallible, but his argument in favor of a Romney victory next Tuesday is compelling.

Root argues that Obama has alienated too many important voting blocs to be re-elected.  Root predicts the race will remain close until election day, when the vote will break heavily for Romney.

He writes:
Most pollsters miss one ingredient — common sense. My gut instinct is that not one American who voted for McCain four years ago will switch to Obama.  But many millions of people who voted for an unknown Obama four years ago are angry, disillusioned, turned off or scared about the future. Voters know Obama now — and that is a bad harbinger.
Read it all here.

28 comments:

Kurt Silverfiddle said...

Root wrote a similar article this summer, and what he said made sense. There is no way Obama expands the pie this time. His 2008 base can only shrink, and he went through each constituency. That is the first article that convinced me that just maybe the Messiah could lose.


I personally know quite a few middle-of-the-road types who reluctantly cop to voting for Obama last time because of Bush fatigue, they fell for the hope and change rhetoric, history, whatever... And none of them are voting for him this time. I can't help but think that perhaps this is a phenomenon playing out all over the US.

Stogie Chomper said...

Kurt, I suspect you are right. I remember the day Reagan was elected over Carter, and it was a route. Logic told me Reagan should win, but the polls were pointing to Carter. The polls were wrong. I suspect that the support for Romney is deeper and wider than what is described in the media. We'll find out on Tuesday.

LastGirl said...

So how did that landslide work out for you guys? Put money on Romney? A few millionaires and billionaires did and it didn't turn out the way they would have liked. That's the thing with money. It can't buy everything.

Stogie Chomper said...

Lastgirl, you will suffer for Obama's victory as much as we will. Forty companies began massive layoffs this week, following Obama's victory. Gas prices will continue to soar. So see how smug you feel the next time you fill up your gas tank. And think of me, because I'll be laughing at you.

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